New population forecast statistics from the Office of the National Statistics Office (OK), which Britain will rise 7.3 percent in the decade until 2032.
It is expected that the net growth of 4.9 million people is expected to be completely migrated, although the number of dead is expected to obtain the number of births in the UK.
In fact, from 2030 onwards, ons predicts that deaths will extend beyond delivery in the UK.
The British fertility rate is drowning, but it is expected to reach 1.41 per woman in 2027 in 2027. And stay at this rate for nearly a decade. The fertility rate in the UK has fallen faster than the other G7 since 2010 and has fallen by nearly 25 percent.
In response to the figures, Prime Minister Kier Esther rejected a “arbitrary” hat on immigration, but said a plan was considered to end “very high migration”.
So what does this mean for the British population?
Growing population
It is expected that the population will approve 70 million and 75 million in 2042 by 2027.
Forecasts show that we are currently among the highest population growth.
According to Ons forecasts, growth was rose to 890,000 in 2023 and is due to gradually subsided, but by 2028 more than 400,000 people a year.
The whole growth is composed of pure migration, especially since 2029 when the mortality rate is stagnant.
The UK growth rate is expected to be in a high record in 2025, before gradually decreasing by 0.44 percent in 2032.
During the decade between 2022 and 2032, the population is expected to increase by 7.3 percent.
This is not significantly higher than in the past decade (between 2012 and 2022), which was 6.9 %.
In the past decade, population growth has witnessed 7.2 percent.
For comparison, it is expected that the EU’s entire population will decline continuously over the next few decades.
According to Eurostat, the European Union loses 1.2 million people between 2025 and 2035.
This is significantly different from the country to another, with the growth of some such as Switzerland and others like Greece.
Immigration
According to Ons forecasts, net migration is a major part of the UK population growth.
The high level of immigration will subside in the next few years, but forecasts assume that net migration will remain stable in 340,000 from 2028 onwards.
In the decade between 2022 and 2032, approximately 5 million people are expected to leave the UK for a long time.
About 9.9 million people are expected to migrate long.
These immigration forecasts should be interpreted as “potential scenario”, and recommend that immigration is “inherently unclear and complex”.
Ons forecasts do not ruin possible migration by nationality or type.
However, the latest immigration data shows that India, Nigeria and Pakistan are the best countries of non -European union for immigration to the UK.
More than 1 million people emigrated to the UK between June 2023 and 2024 from non -EU countries, while the EU was 115,000 in the same period.
For September 2024, more than 453,000 work visas were awarded, 17 % of which are temporary workers. About 443,000 visas were awarded to study in the UK.
Ukrainian visa plans have been awarded more than 24,000 visas, a significant decline over last year.
Life and death
The main reason for this is the population growth, the decline in the British natural population.
From 2029 onwards, it is expected to have more deaths in the UK than birth.
17,000 people are expected to die in the decade between 2022 and 2032.
The gap is expected to expand continuously over the years.
Without pure migration, the British population will decline since 2029. According to current forecasts, this may not happen by 2095.
A falling population can create economic challenges in terms of productivity, population of work and retirement problems.
Fast fertility decreases in G7
Behind this imbalance in birth and mortality rate, fertility rates are decreasing.
Fertility is the average number of children that a woman gives birth to her life in each country.
The British fertility rate in 2023 was only 1.44 children per woman, the last year. That is the lowest rate in the record.
However, ons forecasts show that low fertility only gets worse.
The fertility rate decreases to 1.42 children per woman in 2025 and fits 1.41 in 1.41 in 2027.
Britain has now had the most impressive crash in any G7 fertility rate.
Between 2010 and 2023, fertility rates dropped by 25 %, from 1.92 to 1.44 children per woman.
At the same time, other G7 countries also saw a decrease in fertility, although somewhat less.
The UK still has higher fertility than Japan (1.2) and Italy (1.2), the second since 2010 saw a 20 percent decline in fertility.